TCU
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 83.9688Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 901 A UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 48-14 913 H Abilene Chr 42-21 920 H SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 35-24 926 A Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-27 1004 H Colorado B12 ( 3- 9, 74.6) 35-21 1011 A Kansas St B12 ( 6- 5, 82.6) 28-41 1018 H Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 42-36 1025 A We Virginia B12 ( 4- 8, 77.4) 23-17 1108 H Iowa St B12 ( 7- 4, 81.0) 17-20 1115 A BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 13-44 1122 A Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 17-14 1129 H Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 5, 77.6) 45-23 1230 N USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 30-27
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
901 A UNC 48-14 34 4 +++ 9.76
920 H SMU 35-24 11 6 ++ 5.45
926 A Arizona St 24-27 -3 -2 -1.07
1004 H Colorado 35-21 14 15 0.00
1011 A Kansas St 28-41 -13 -4 --- -9.08
1018 H Baylor 42-36 6 16 --- -8.00
1025 A We Virginia 23-17 6 1 ++ 4.72
1108 H Iowa St 17-20 -3 8 --- -11.24
1115 A BYU 13-44 -31 -12 -1.70
1122 A Houston 17-14 3 -2 ++ 4.74
1129 H Cincinnati 45-23 22 12 + 2.39
1230 N USC 30-27 3 -4 +++ 6.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Kansas St 28-41 -13 -4 --- -9.08 1018 H Baylor 42-36 6 16 --- -8.00 1108 H Iowa St 17-20 -3 8 --- -11.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 901 A UNC 48-14 34 4 +++ 9.76 1230 N USC 30-27 3 -4 +++ 6.57 920 H SMU 35-24 11 6 ++ 5.45 1025 A We Virginia 23-17 6 1 ++ 4.72 1122 A Houston 17-14 3 -2 ++ 4.74 1129 H Cincinnati 45-23 22 12 + 2.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 48-14 -25.43 25.78 5.26 1.06 65.97
3 H SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 35-24 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 1.06 63.19
3 A Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-27 -19.26 31.96 5.26 1.06 -7.44
3 H Colorado ( 3- 9, 74.6) 35-21 -25.34 25.88 -5.26 1.06 43.83
3 A Kansas St ( 6- 5, 82.6) 28-41 -17.27 33.95 5.26 1.06 -6.38
3 H Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 42-36 -26.55 24.67 -5.26 1.06 41.26
3 A We Virginia ( 4- 8, 77.4) 23-17 -22.47 28.75 5.26 1.06 72.27
3 H Iowa St ( 7- 4, 81.0) 17-20 -18.92 32.30 -5.26 1.06 -12.84
3 A BYU (12- 2, 91.0) 13-44 -8.89 42.33 5.26 1.06 -1.93
3 A Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 17-14 -19.45 31.77 5.26 1.06 78.70
3 H Cincinnati ( 7- 5, 77.6) 45-23 -22.28 28.94 -5.26 1.06 50.32
3 N USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 30-27 -12.37 38.85 -0.00 1.06 82.56
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469.50
|
winning pts = 498.0922 losing points = -28.5898
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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